Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller
Team pages: Yaroslav Demin · Alexandre Muller
Prediction summary
Winner
Yaroslav Demin
Alexandre Muller
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Yaroslav Demin
10-0 (W-L)
Alexandre Muller
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yaroslav Demin 1604 · Alexandre Muller 1491
| Yaroslav Demin | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yaroslav Demin (rating 1604 vs 1491).
- Yaroslav Demin dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 50.8% break avg.
- Yaroslav Demin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Yaroslav Demin | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.2 | 10-10.5 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 28.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yaroslav Demin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 30/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Charles Broom Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Qian Sun Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Akira Santillan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Alexandre Muller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Tomas Machac Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Rio Noguchi ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Moise Kouame ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Luka Pavlovic ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 03/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller?
Our model gives 51% to Yaroslav Demin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.