Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 03/11, 03:00
Prediction: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Chun Hsin Tseng
Team pages: Carl Emil Overbeck · Chun Hsin Tseng
Prediction summary
Winner
Carl Emil Overbeck
Chun Hsin Tseng
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Carl Emil Overbeck
6-4 (W-L)
Chun Hsin Tseng
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carl Emil Overbeck 1480 · Chun Hsin Tseng 1527
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Chun Hsin Tseng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chun Hsin Tseng (rating 1480 vs 1527).
Statistics
| Carl Emil Overbeck | Chun Hsin Tseng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.2 | 11.4-8.6 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carl Emil Overbeck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Marcello Serafini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Fano |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Tobia Grandinetti M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Chun Hsin Tseng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Anvar Rakhmatov Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/09 | Olle Wallin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/09 | Karl Friberg Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 05/09 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Tianhui Zhang Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carl Emil Overbeck vs Chun Hsin Tseng?
Our model gives 61% to Chun Hsin Tseng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.