Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 01/11, 06:00
Prediction: Yosuke Watanuki vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Yosuke Watanuki · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Yosuke Watanuki
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yosuke Watanuki
8-2 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yosuke Watanuki 1528 · Dominik Palan 1433
| Yosuke Watanuki | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yosuke Watanuki (rating 1528 vs 1433).
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 9.6 aces and 47.6% break avg.
- Yosuke Watanuki is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Yosuke Watanuki | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-8.7 | 11.2-14.2 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 9.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yosuke Watanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/10 | Marin Cilic Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Fares Alwazer Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Dominik Palan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Arthur Weber Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yosuke Watanuki vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 76% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.