Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 01/11, 09:00
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Koki Matsuda
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Koki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Koki Matsuda
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
3-7 (W-L)
Koki Matsuda
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kasidit Samrej
1–1
Koki Matsuda
(2 last)
- 17 Aug2-1 16-16W
- 06 Jul0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1495 · Koki Matsuda 1452
| Kasidit Samrej | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasidit Samrej (rating 1495 vs 1452).
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Koki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-11.2 | 9.3-12.9 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.6% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 21.1% | 22.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Kasidit Samrej 1 – 1 Koki Matsuda (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kasidit Samrej 1–1 Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/25 M15 Singapore | 2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 06/07/25 M15 Maanshan | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Coleman Wong Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/10 | Fajing Sun Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Coleman Wong Asian Games |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Pradip Khadka Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Koki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Geun Jun Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Arthur Weber Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Koki Matsuda?
Our model gives 59% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.