Tennis · Challenger Taipei · 01/11, 03:00
Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs Luca Staeheli
Team pages: Masamichi Imamura · Luca Staeheli
Prediction summary
Winner
Masamichi Imamura
Luca Staeheli
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Masamichi Imamura
0-10 (W-L)
Luca Staeheli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1384 · Luca Staeheli 1553
| Masamichi Imamura | Luca Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 73% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Staeheli (rating 1384 vs 1553).
- Luca Staeheli is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Masamichi Imamura | Luca Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 11% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.9 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-12.2 | 10.8-7.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 19.3% | 39.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Yunseong Chung M25 Sapporo |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Yu Hsiou Hsu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Hyeon Chung M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Boris Butulija M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 23/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 22/10 | Maksim Shin M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Haolong He M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 27/09 | Bruno Kuzuhara Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs Luca Staeheli?
Our model gives 66% to Luca Staeheli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.