Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 26/10, 17:00
Prediction: Daniel Elahi Galan vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Team pages: Daniel Elahi Galan · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Elahi Galan
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Elahi Galan
3-7 (W-L)
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Elahi Galan 1462 · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1531
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (rating 1462 vs 1531).
Statistics
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-13.8 | 10.7-7.6 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Elahi Galan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 17/09 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Georgi Georgiev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Sergio Castro Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/10 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Agustin Eduardo Cuellar Lorberg Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Wilson Leite Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Bruno Milani Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/09 | Tadeo Meneo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Elahi Galan vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez?
Our model gives 54% to Daniel Elahi Galan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.