Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 29/10, 16:00
Prediction: Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Team pages: Nick Hardt · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Nick Hardt
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nick Hardt
5-5 (W-L)
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nick Hardt 1455 · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1537
| Nick Hardt | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (rating 1455 vs 1537).
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Nick Hardt makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Nick Hardt | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-12.5 | 11.3-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 67.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nick Hardt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Jakub Filip Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nick Hardt vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo?
Our model gives 68% to Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.