Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 30/10, 19:40
Prediction: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien
Team pages: Carlos Maria Zarate · Hugo Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Maria Zarate
Hugo Dellien
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Maria Zarate
5-5 (W-L)
Hugo Dellien
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Maria Zarate 1527 · Hugo Dellien 1590
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Dellien (rating 1527 vs 1590).
Statistics
| Carlos Maria Zarate | Hugo Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.6 | 12.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 39.9% | 66% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Alan Magadan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Corwin M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Hugo Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Maria Zarate vs Hugo Dellien?
Our model gives 70% to Hugo Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.