Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 30/10, 17:20
Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon
Team pages: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo · Lautaro Midon
Prediction summary
Winner
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
8-2 (W-L)
Lautaro Midon
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
0–3
Lautaro Midon
(3 last)
- 08 Oct1-2 18-16L
- 27 Mar1-2 14-15L
- 17 Sept0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1583 · Lautaro Midon 1568
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0–3 Lautaro Midon (3).
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9 | 11.1-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 56% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0 – 3 Lautaro Midon (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 0–3 Lautaro Midon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/26 Challenger Antofagasta | 1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 27/03/25 M25 Lujan | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/09/24 M15 Asuncion | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Tomas Barrios Vera Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model gives 51% to Lautaro Midon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.