Tennis · M15 Quito · 17/10, 18:30
Prediction: Alex Hernandez vs Juan Sebastian Osorio
Team pages: Alex Hernandez · Juan Sebastian Osorio
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Hernandez
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Hernandez
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Sebastian Osorio
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Hernandez 1563 · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1561
| Alex Hernandez | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alex Hernandez | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.3 | 12.2-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 47% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Gray Voelzke M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Miles Clark M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Ryan Fishback M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Victor Bini M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Tadeo Meneo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Jefferson Wendler Filho Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Hernandez vs Juan Sebastian Osorio?
Our model gives 55% to Alex Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.