Tennis · M15 Quito · 14/10, 16:00

Prediction: Nicolas Hollender vs Juan Sebastian Gomez

Team pages: Nicolas Hollender · Juan Sebastian Gomez

Prediction summary
Winner
26% 74%
Nicolas Hollender Juan Sebastian Gomez
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Hollender 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLWW
Juan Sebastian Gomez 2-8 (W-L)
LLLLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nicolas Hollender 1450 · Juan Sebastian Gomez 1470
Nicolas HollenderJuan Sebastian Gomez
Our model47%53%
Market9%91%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Juan Sebastian Gomez makes many double faults (6.1/match).

Statistics

Nicolas HollenderJuan Sebastian Gomez
Win %30%40%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.50.9-1.5
Games (G-P)7.7-11.211.2-12.7
Aces3.62.4
Double faults3.76.1
1st serve %66.9%64.5%
Break %41.2%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nicolas Hollender

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
05/10 Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 10-12 L
20/07 Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 1-12 L
06/05 Segundo Goity Zapico
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
0-2 4-9 L
28/04 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/04 Angel Veliz
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/04 Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/03 Victor Braga
Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay
1-2 9-18 L
06/02 Stefan Cooper
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/02 Niccolo Catini
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 10-4 W

Juan Sebastian Gomez

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Miles Clark
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
08/10 Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 16-17 L
06/10 Ivan Dreycopp
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
06/07 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
30/06 Ignacio Monzon
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
15/06 Carlos Maria Zarate
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
09/06 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/05 Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
01/05 Andres Urrea
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nicolas Hollender vs Juan Sebastian Gomez?

Our model gives 74% to Juan Sebastian Gomez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.