Tennis · M15 Quito · 16/10, 16:00

Prediction: Alex Hernandez vs Ivan Dreycopp

Team pages: Alex Hernandez · Ivan Dreycopp

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Alex Hernandez Ivan Dreycopp
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Hernandez 8-2 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWW
Ivan Dreycopp 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alex Hernandez 1545 · Ivan Dreycopp 1548
Alex HernandezIvan Dreycopp
Our model50%50%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alex HernandezIvan Dreycopp
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.6-0.8
Games (G-P)11.7-10.712.6-10.4
Aces2.73.7
Double faults2.92.1
1st serve %71.9%74.4%
Break %43.1%40.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alex Hernandez

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
13/10 Gray Voelzke
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/10 Tristan McCormick
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 17-19 L
08/10 Miles Clark
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/10 Mario Andre Galarraga
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
08/09 Gabi Adrian Boitan
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
07/09 Tuncay Duran
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
06/09 Cem Ilkel
Challenger Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
20/08 Alan Magadan
Challenger Cancun · Hard
1-2 10-16 L

Ivan Dreycopp

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Matteo Covato
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 20-19 W
14/10 Valentino Grippo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/10 Jose Luis Claro
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/10 Juan Sebastian Gomez
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
03/09 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew
1-2 12-18 L
02/09 Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Trelew
2-1 17-9 W
02/09 Vicente Jose Benitez
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-8 W
31/08 Tobia Grandinetti
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Santiago Franchini
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-10 W
04/08 Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina
0-2 2-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alex Hernandez vs Ivan Dreycopp?

Our model gives 64% to Alex Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.