Prediction: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Tristan McCormick
Team pages: Juan Sebastian Osorio · Tristan McCormick
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Tristan McCormick
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Sebastian Osorio
6-4 (W-L)
Tristan McCormick
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Sebastian Osorio
0–2
Tristan McCormick
(2 last)
- 14 Apr1-2 10-15L
- 05 Aug1-2 14-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1543 · Tristan McCormick 1548
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tristan McCormick dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 51.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Juan Sebastian Osorio 0–2 Tristan McCormick (2).
Statistics
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.8 | 12.9-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Juan Sebastian Osorio 0 – 2 Tristan McCormick (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Sebastian Osorio 0–2 Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/25 Challenger San Luis Potosi | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08/24 Challenger Bogota | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Sebastian Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Ryan Fishback M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Victor Bini M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Tadeo Meneo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 27/09 | Jefferson Wendler Filho Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Tristan McCormick
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Victor Bini M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Alex Hernandez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 08/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Tyler Mercier M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Garrett Johns M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Marcello Serafini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Xavi Palomar M25 Gijon |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Tristan McCormick?
Our model gives 52% to Tristan McCormick, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.