Tennis · M15 Quito · 16/10, 16:00

Prediction: Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Juan Sebastian Gomez

Team pages: Lucas Andrade da Silva · Juan Sebastian Gomez

Prediction summary
Winner
75% 25%
Lucas Andrade da Silva Juan Sebastian Gomez
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Andrade da Silva 7-3 (W-L)
WLLLWWWWWW
Juan Sebastian Gomez 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1582 · Juan Sebastian Gomez 1482
Lucas Andrade da SilvaJuan Sebastian Gomez
Our model64%36%
Market84%16%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1582 vs 1482).
  • Lucas Andrade da Silva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Juan Sebastian Gomez makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Lucas Andrade da SilvaJuan Sebastian Gomez
Win %70%40%
Win % · Clay 86% (7) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.70.9-1.4
Games (G-P)12.3-10.210.7-12.3
Aces11.32.3
Double faults3.46
1st serve %80.9%65.8%
Break %33.4%43.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucas Andrade da Silva

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Tadeo Meneo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
14/10 Victor Bini
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
11/10 Tristan McCormick
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/10 Matteo Covato
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
08/10 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 16-15 W
07/10 Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
30/09 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
0-2 12-14 L
23/08 Kaylan Bigun
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Tyler Zink
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
17/08 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Juan Sebastian Gomez

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Nicolas Hollender
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
13/10 Miles Clark
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
08/10 Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 16-17 L
06/10 Ivan Dreycopp
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
06/07 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
30/06 Ignacio Monzon
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/06 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
15/06 Carlos Maria Zarate
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
09/06 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/05 Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Juan Sebastian Gomez?

Our model gives 75% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.