Tennis · M15 Quito · 17/10, 17:00
Prediction: Mwendwa Mbithi vs Lucas Andrade da Silva
Team pages: Mwendwa Mbithi · Lucas Andrade da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Mwendwa Mbithi
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mwendwa Mbithi
6-4 (W-L)
Lucas Andrade da Silva
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mwendwa Mbithi 1547 · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1588
| Mwendwa Mbithi | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1547 vs 1588).
Statistics
| Mwendwa Mbithi | Lucas Andrade da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.4 | 12.5-10.5 |
| Aces | 5 | 11.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 81.5% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mwendwa Mbithi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Lorenzo Claverie M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Matteo Covato M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Andres Delgadillo M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 24/07 | Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/10 | Tadeo Meneo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Victor Bini M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Matteo Covato M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/10 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mwendwa Mbithi vs Lucas Andrade da Silva?
Our model gives 69% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.