Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 17/10, 15:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Damir Dzumhur
Team pages: Maks Kasnikowski · Damir Dzumhur
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Damir Dzumhur
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Damir Dzumhur
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1542 · Damir Dzumhur 1518
| Maks Kasnikowski | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.6 | 11.5-12.2 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 32.5% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hubert Hurkacz US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-22 | L |
| 06/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Damir Dzumhur?
Our model gives 50% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.