Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 16/10, 11:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Damir Dzumhur
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch · Damir Dzumhur
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Damir Dzumhur
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
5-5 (W-L)
Damir Dzumhur
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1538 · Damir Dzumhur 1498
| Tom Gentzsch | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1538 vs 1498).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 49.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-12.3 | 11.8-13.2 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Niels Visker Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Alan Wazny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hubert Hurkacz US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-22 | L |
| 06/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Damir Dzumhur?
Our model gives 52% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.