Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 16/10, 11:00
Prediction: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi
Team pages: Michael Mmoh · Luca Nardi
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Mmoh
Luca Nardi
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Mmoh
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Nardi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Michael Mmoh
1–0
Luca Nardi
(1 last)
- 24 Nov2-1 15-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Mmoh 1542 · Luca Nardi 1502
| Michael Mmoh | Luca Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Mmoh (rating 1542 vs 1502).
- Head-to-head: Michael Mmoh 1–0 Luca Nardi (1).
- Note: Michael Mmoh makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Michael Mmoh | Luca Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.2 | 11.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 57.2% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Michael Mmoh 1 – 0 Luca Nardi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Michael Mmoh 1–0 Luca Nardi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/23 Challenger Yokohama | 2-1 | 15-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Mmoh
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Karue Sell Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Henrique Rocha US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Luca Nardi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/10 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Rio Noguchi Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 14/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi?
Our model gives 57% to Michael Mmoh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.