Tennis · M15 Quito · 15/10, 18:30

Prediction: Ivan Dreycopp vs Matteo Covato

Team pages: Ivan Dreycopp · Matteo Covato

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Ivan Dreycopp Matteo Covato
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Dreycopp 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWLWW
Matteo Covato 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ivan Dreycopp 1555 · Matteo Covato 1521
Ivan DreycoppMatteo Covato
Our model55%45%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Ivan DreycoppMatteo Covato
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (3) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.1-1.1
Games (G-P)11.8-9.19.5-10.4
Aces37.2
Double faults1.51.5
1st serve %72.6%67.3%
Break %40.2%34.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ivan Dreycopp

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Valentino Grippo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
12/10 Jose Luis Claro
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/10 Juan Sebastian Gomez
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
03/09 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew
1-2 12-18 L
02/09 Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Trelew
2-1 17-9 W
02/09 Vicente Jose Benitez
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-8 W
31/08 Tobia Grandinetti
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-4 W
25/08 Santiago Franchini
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-10 W
04/08 Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina
0-2 2-12 L
03/08 Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M25 Londrina
2-0 12-6 W

Matteo Covato

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Emilio Camacho
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/10 Lucas Andrade da Silva
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
09/10 Felipe De Dios
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
08/10 Mwendwa Mbithi
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
06/10 Dakotah Bobo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
24/09 Stefan Seifert
M15 Forbach
0-2 3-12 L
22/09 Victor Barrere
M15 Forbach
2-1 16-12 W
13/09 Izan Almazan Valiente
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/09 Leo Raquillet
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/08 Fausto Tabacco
Challenger Como · Clay
1-2 14-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ivan Dreycopp vs Matteo Covato?

Our model gives 60% to Ivan Dreycopp, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.