Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 17/10, 04:00
Prediction: Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith
Team pages: Martin Landaluce · Keegan Smith
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Landaluce
Keegan Smith
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Landaluce
5-5 (W-L)
Keegan Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Landaluce 1486 · Keegan Smith 1504
| Martin Landaluce | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Martin Landaluce makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Martin Landaluce | Keegan Smith | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13.6 | 13.9-14.1 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 11.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 23.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Landaluce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 20/09 | Matias Soto Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 22-27 | L |
| 23/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Edward Winter Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 24/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith?
Our model gives 62% to Martin Landaluce, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.