Tennis · M15 Quito · 15/10, 18:30

Prediction: Lorenzo Claverie vs Mwendwa Mbithi

Team pages: Lorenzo Claverie · Mwendwa Mbithi

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Lorenzo Claverie Mwendwa Mbithi
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Claverie 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWLWLLW
Mwendwa Mbithi 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Claverie 1500 · Mwendwa Mbithi 1516
Lorenzo ClaverieMwendwa Mbithi
Our model48%52%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Lorenzo Claverie makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Lorenzo ClaverieMwendwa Mbithi
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.3-0.9
Games (G-P)12.8-13.911.2-8.4
Aces13.15.7
Double faults4.42.9
1st serve %76.9%68.8%
Break %36.4%40.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Claverie

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 14-10 W
13/09 Ozan Baris
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
1-2 12-16 L
23/08 Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/08 Miguel Tobon
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
26/07 Tristan Boyer
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
19/07 Bruno Kuzuhara
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
11/07 Matias Soto
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
10/07 Facundo Mena
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
09/07 Nick Hardt
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
07/07 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 19-14 W

Mwendwa Mbithi

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
08/10 Matteo Covato
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
06/10 Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
30/07 Niels Peter Van Noord
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
29/07 Andres Delgadillo
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
25/07 Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 13-16 L
24/07 Emiliano Aguilera Guerrero
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
23/07 Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-1 17-11 W
05/07 Christopher Papa
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Claverie vs Mwendwa Mbithi?

Our model gives 57% to Lorenzo Claverie, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.