Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat
Team pages: Jacob Fearnley · Jan Kumstat
Prediction summary
Winner
Jacob Fearnley
Jan Kumstat
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jacob Fearnley
7-3 (W-L)
Jan Kumstat
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jacob Fearnley 1570 · Jan Kumstat 1592
| Jacob Fearnley | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Jacob Fearnley | Jan Kumstat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 100% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-11.6 | 13.7-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 80.6% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | George Loffhagen Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 15-21 | L |
| 31/08 | Martin Landaluce US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 27-22 | W |
| 28/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Luka Pavlovic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Roberto Carballes Baena US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 31/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jacob Fearnley vs Jan Kumstat?
Our model gives 55% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.