Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 14/10, 11:00
Prediction: Stefano Travaglia vs Valentin Royer
Team pages: Stefano Travaglia · Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano Travaglia
Valentin Royer
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano Travaglia
3-7 (W-L)
Valentin Royer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano Travaglia 1452 · Valentin Royer 1534
| Stefano Travaglia | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentin Royer (rating 1452 vs 1534).
- Valentin Royer is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stefano Travaglia | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-12.9 | 12.5-11 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 29.6% | 24.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano Travaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Adam Walton ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano Travaglia vs Valentin Royer?
Our model gives 67% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.