Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 14/10, 06:30
Prediction: Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate
Team pages: Luka Pavlovic · Tristan Schoolkate
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Pavlovic
Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Pavlovic
7-3 (W-L)
Tristan Schoolkate
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Pavlovic 1519 · Tristan Schoolkate 1519
| Luka Pavlovic | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luka Pavlovic | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.9 | 14.4-13.1 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 11.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 79.6% | 80.3% |
| Break % | 35.4% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Pavlovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Kangyuan Shi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexandre Muller ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 15/09 | Ha Minh Duc Vu Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Dane Sweeny ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Philip Henning Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 19/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 16/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Flavio Cobolli US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 01/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Pavlovic vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Our model gives 58% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.