Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 14/10, 12:30
Prediction: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski
Team pages: Andrea Guerrieri · Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Guerrieri
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Guerrieri
6-4 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrea Guerrieri
1–0
Maks Kasnikowski
(1 last)
- 02 Apr2-1 15-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Guerrieri 1535 · Maks Kasnikowski 1507
| Andrea Guerrieri | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Andrea Guerrieri 1–0 Maks Kasnikowski (1).
- Note: Andrea Guerrieri makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Guerrieri | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.7 | 11.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 74% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 32.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Andrea Guerrieri 1 – 0 Maks Kasnikowski (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrea Guerrieri 1–0 Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Challenger Barletta | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Guerrieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | August Holmgren US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Elmer Moller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 58% to Andrea Guerrieri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.