Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 14/10, 06:30
Prediction: Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki
Team pages: Andre Ilagan · Yosuke Watanuki
Prediction summary
Winner
Andre Ilagan
Yosuke Watanuki
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Ilagan
4-6 (W-L)
Yosuke Watanuki
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andre Ilagan
0–2
Yosuke Watanuki
(2 last)
- 21 Jul0-2 11-14L
- 30 Jun1-2 9-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andre Ilagan 1487 · Yosuke Watanuki 1513
| Andre Ilagan | Yosuke Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Andre Ilagan 0–2 Yosuke Watanuki (2).
Statistics
| Andre Ilagan | Yosuke Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.6 | 10.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 79% |
| Break % | 31.4% | 32.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Andre Ilagan 0 – 2 Yosuke Watanuki (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andre Ilagan 0–2 Yosuke Watanuki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/26 Challenger Winnipeg | 0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/06/26 Challenger Cary | 1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andre Ilagan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 02/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Matthew Dellavedova Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Hugo Gaston US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Tristan Boyer US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Yosuke Watanuki
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Fares Alwazer Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 02/09 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Semen Pankin Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 14/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andre Ilagan vs Yosuke Watanuki?
Our model gives 52% to Yosuke Watanuki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.