Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 14/10, 08:00
Prediction: Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva
Team pages: Keegan Smith · Vit Kopriva
Prediction summary
Winner
Keegan Smith
Vit Kopriva
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Keegan Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Vit Kopriva
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Keegan Smith 1472 · Vit Kopriva 1435
| Keegan Smith | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Keegan Smith | Vit Kopriva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.6 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-14.5 | 9.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 11.4 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 19.8% | 40.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Keegan Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/09 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Edward Winter Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 24/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Vit Kopriva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Zizou Bergs ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alex Molcan ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Jia Hu ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Quentin Halys ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Keegan Smith vs Vit Kopriva?
Our model gives 54% to Vit Kopriva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.