Tennis · M15 Quito · 13/10, 17:00

Prediction: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender

Team pages: Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

Prediction summary
Winner
78% 22%
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo Nicolas Hollender
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLLWWLW
Nicolas Hollender 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLLW
Head-to-head
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 1–1 Nicolas Hollender (2 last)
  • 17 Mar2-1 19-14W
  • 12 Nov0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 1531 · Nicolas Hollender 1434
Manuel Mouilleron SalvoNicolas Hollender
Our model64%36%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manuel Mouilleron Salvo (rating 1531 vs 1434).

Statistics

Manuel Mouilleron SalvoNicolas Hollender
Win %50%30%
Win % · Clay 75% (4) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1-10.8-1.4
Games (G-P)9.1-8.97.6-10.8
Aces0.73.2
Double faults2.33.5
1st serve %61.6%66.2%
Break %52.2%46.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

H2H · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 1 – 1 Nicolas Hollender (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 1–1 Nicolas Hollender

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DateSetsGamesRes.
17/03/24
M15 Antalya
2-119-14W
12/11/23
ITF M15 Cochabamba
0-210-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/10 Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/10 Victor Bini
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/10 Mateo Del Pino
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/10 Martin Baquero
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
23/09 Mateus Alves
M15 Curitiba
0-2 3-12 L
16/09 Lucca Pinto
M15 Belem
0-2 8-13 L
01/09 Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trelew
0-2 5-13 L
31/08 Agustin Libre
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 7-12 L
25/08 Pablo Mikito Mitoma
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 12-4 W

Nicolas Hollender

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/10 Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 10-12 L
20/07 Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 1-12 L
06/05 Segundo Goity Zapico
M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay
0-2 4-9 L
28/04 Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
21/04 Angel Veliz
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
20/04 Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
23/03 Victor Braga
Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay
1-2 9-18 L
06/02 Stefan Cooper
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/02 Niccolo Catini
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 10-4 W
04/02 Adam Faragcao
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manuel Mouilleron Salvo vs Nicolas Hollender?

Our model gives 78% to Manuel Mouilleron Salvo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.