Tennis · M15 Quito · 13/10, 18:30

Prediction: Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Mateo Del Pino

Team pages: Juan Sebastian Osorio · Mateo Del Pino

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Juan Sebastian Osorio Mateo Del Pino
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Sebastian Osorio 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWL
Mateo Del Pino 3-7 (W-L)
LWWLWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1534 · Mateo Del Pino 1462
Juan Sebastian OsorioMateo Del Pino
Our model60%40%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Sebastian Osorio (rating 1534 vs 1462).
  • Juan Sebastian Osorio is in better form: 60% recent wins.

Statistics

Juan Sebastian OsorioMateo Del Pino
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.90.6-1.5
Games (G-P)12.2-10.46.7-10
Aces3.60.5
Double faults1.52.8
1st serve %71.1%50.9%
Break %41.9%54.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juan Sebastian Osorio

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Victor Bini
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
06/10 Tadeo Meneo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
28/09 Samuel Heredia
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
27/09 Jefferson Wendler Filho
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
25/09 Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Curitiba
0-2 4-12 L
24/09 Mauricio Echazu
M15 Curitiba
2-0 12-6 W
22/09 Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira
M15 Curitiba
2-0 12-7 W
19/09 Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Belem
1-2 11-17 L
18/09 Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Belem
2-1 15-15 W
17/09 Valentin Garay
M15 Belem
2-0 12-2 W

Mateo Del Pino

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
21/09 Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
01/09 Valentino Grippo
M15 Trelew
0-2 9-13 L
25/08 Felipe De Dios
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 8-13 L
19/08 Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/08 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 9-1 W
12/08 Federico Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/08 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
10/08 Nathan Cox
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-1 8-10 W
21/07 Gustavo Albieri
M25 Sao Paulo
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Mateo Del Pino?

Our model gives 68% to Juan Sebastian Osorio, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.