Prediction: Alex Hernandez vs Gray Voelzke
Team pages: Alex Hernandez · Gray Voelzke
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Hernandez
Gray Voelzke
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Hernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Gray Voelzke
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Hernandez 1483 · Gray Voelzke 1386
| Alex Hernandez | Gray Voelzke | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Hernandez (rating 1483 vs 1386).
- Alex Hernandez is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Gray Voelzke makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Alex Hernandez | Gray Voelzke | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.3 | 9.2-13.3 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 28% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Miles Clark M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Cem Ilkel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 02/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Gray Voelzke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Stian Klaassen M25 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Batiste Guerra M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Preston Brown M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Eugenio Gonzalez Fitzmaurice M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Yuya Hirose M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 24/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Hernandez vs Gray Voelzke?
Our model gives 79% to Alex Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.