Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 14/10, 20:00
Prediction: Adam Chodur vs Zach Stephens
Team pages: Adam Chodur · Zach Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Chodur
Zach Stephens
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Chodur
5-5 (W-L)
Zach Stephens
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Chodur 1489 · Zach Stephens 1545
| Adam Chodur | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zach Stephens (rating 1489 vs 1545).
Statistics
| Adam Chodur | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.6 | 11.4-8.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 64% |
| Break % | 55% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Chodur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 30/09 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Peter Jorniak UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Carson Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 30/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/04 | Dylan Varughese UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Zach Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Piotr Siekanowicz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Diego Herrera UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 30/09 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/09 | James Lorenzetti UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Rithvik Katpelly UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Chodur vs Zach Stephens?
Our model gives 68% to Zach Stephens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.