Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 24/10, 03:30
Prediction: Derrick Chen vs Kosuke Nakanishi
Team pages: Derrick Chen · Kosuke Nakanishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Derrick Chen
Kosuke Nakanishi
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Derrick Chen
6-4 (W-L)
Kosuke Nakanishi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Derrick Chen 1536 · Kosuke Nakanishi 1512
| Derrick Chen | Kosuke Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Derrick Chen makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Derrick Chen | Kosuke Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-7.8 | 12.6-12 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Derrick Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Ryan Bedwick UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Adriano Dzhenev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Ilias Bouzoubaa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/01 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/01 | Rahul Sachdev UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/01 | Luka Butera UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Lincoln Battle UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 19/12 | Guillaume Dalmasso UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Illya Maksymchuk UTR Pro Honolulu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Kosuke Nakanishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Pol Masafret Hernandez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Yamada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Derrick Chen vs Kosuke Nakanishi?
Our model gives 66% to Derrick Chen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.