Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 23/10, 20:00
Prediction: David Knesl vs Maciej Rajski
Team pages: David Knesl · Maciej Rajski
Prediction summary
Winner
David Knesl
Maciej Rajski
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
David Knesl
6-4 (W-L)
Maciej Rajski
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · David Knesl 1549 · Maciej Rajski 1602
| David Knesl | Maciej Rajski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maciej Rajski (rating 1549 vs 1602).
- Maciej Rajski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| David Knesl | Maciej Rajski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.3 | 12.2-6.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 58.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
David Knesl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Oskar Grzegorzewski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniel Bien UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Theo Coats UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-1 | 14-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Ondrej Valek UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Vojtech Vales UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Jacob Olar UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Riccardo Campagnola UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Maciej Rajski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Arnav Bhandari UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Noble Renfrow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Christopher Rodi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Ilan Klein UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Caleb Saltz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in David Knesl vs Maciej Rajski?
Our model gives 70% to Maciej Rajski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.