Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 23/10, 20:00
Prediction: Karl Kazuma Lee vs Corey Craig
Team pages: Karl Kazuma Lee · Corey Craig
Prediction summary
Winner
Karl Kazuma Lee
Corey Craig
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Karl Kazuma Lee
4-6 (W-L)
Corey Craig
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karl Kazuma Lee 1527 · Corey Craig 1536
| Karl Kazuma Lee | Corey Craig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Karl Kazuma Lee | Corey Craig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 10.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karl Kazuma Lee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Pol Masafret Hernandez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Nile Ung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Jack Anthrop M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Stefan Cooper M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Marco Alvarez M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
Corey Craig
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/10 | Luka Vukovic UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/10 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/10 | Walid Ahouda UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 09/10 | Robert Watzka UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/09 | William Jansen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Atakan Karahan M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Gianluca Carlini M15 Columbia |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karl Kazuma Lee vs Corey Craig?
Our model gives 55% to Corey Craig, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.