Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 22/10, 20:00
Prediction: Liam Spiers vs Kosuke Nakanishi
Team pages: Liam Spiers · Kosuke Nakanishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Spiers
Kosuke Nakanishi
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Spiers
7-3 (W-L)
Kosuke Nakanishi
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Spiers 1534 · Kosuke Nakanishi 1484
| Liam Spiers | Kosuke Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Spiers (rating 1534 vs 1484).
Statistics
| Liam Spiers | Kosuke Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9 | 12.1-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Spiers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Joseph Nau UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Eloi Roux UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Micah Ward UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Cody Benton UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Kosuke Nakanishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Pol Masafret Hernandez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Toshiki Karigyo UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Shion Yamada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Hiiro Sakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Spiers vs Kosuke Nakanishi?
Our model gives 53% to Kosuke Nakanishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.