Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 24/10, 03:30
Prediction: Luca Ostovany vs Liam Spiers
Team pages: Luca Ostovany · Liam Spiers
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Ostovany
Liam Spiers
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Ostovany
7-3 (W-L)
Liam Spiers
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Ostovany 1441 · Liam Spiers 1521
| Luca Ostovany | Liam Spiers | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Spiers (rating 1441 vs 1521).
- Liam Spiers is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Luca Ostovany | Liam Spiers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.3 | 11.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Ostovany
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Derrick Chen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | David Knesl UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Oskar Grzegorzewski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 20/10 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Bautista Durrels Rojo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Liam Spiers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Joseph Nau UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Joseph Lee UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Eloi Roux UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Henry Lamchinniah UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/09 | Micah Ward UTR Pro Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Cody Benton UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Ostovany vs Liam Spiers?
Our model gives 63% to Liam Spiers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.