Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Tom Gentzsch vs Niels Visker
Team pages: Tom Gentzsch · Niels Visker
Prediction summary
Winner
Tom Gentzsch
Niels Visker
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Tom Gentzsch
6-4 (W-L)
Niels Visker
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tom Gentzsch
0–2
Niels Visker
(2 last)
- 19 Nov0-2 10-13L
- 01 Jun0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tom Gentzsch 1538 · Niels Visker 1526
| Tom Gentzsch | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.8% break avg.
- Niels Visker dominates on serve: 11.2 aces and 40.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tom Gentzsch 0–2 Niels Visker (2).
- Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Tom Gentzsch | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.5 | 12.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 6 | 11.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 79.3% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Tom Gentzsch 0 – 2 Niels Visker (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tom Gentzsch 0–2 Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/25 Challenger Bergamo | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06/21 ITF M15 Skopje | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tom Gentzsch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/09 | Martin Krumich Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Alan Wazny Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-1 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Pol Martin Tiffon US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Niels Visker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Davide Vargiu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Marko Topo Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Niels McDonald Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Tom Paris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tom Gentzsch vs Niels Visker?
Our model gives 58% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.