Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer
Team pages: Mathys Erhard · Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Erhard
Valentin Royer
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Erhard
8-2 (W-L)
Valentin Royer
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Erhard 1548 · Valentin Royer 1515
| Mathys Erhard | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mathys Erhard dominates on serve: 8.1 aces and 44.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Mathys Erhard | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.4 | 13-11.4 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 19.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Lorenzo Rocco Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/10 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/09 | Paul Theate Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Benjamin Pietri Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Charles Broom Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Adam Walton ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Erhard vs Valentin Royer?
Our model gives 58% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.