Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Stefano Travaglia vs Viktor Durasovic
Team pages: Stefano Travaglia · Viktor Durasovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefano Travaglia
Viktor Durasovic
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Stefano Travaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Viktor Durasovic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Stefano Travaglia
2–1
Viktor Durasovic
(3 last)
- 19 May1-2 16-17L
- 21 May2-0 12-6W
- 05 Jan2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefano Travaglia 1437 · Viktor Durasovic 1511
| Stefano Travaglia | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viktor Durasovic (rating 1437 vs 1511).
- Viktor Durasovic dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 42.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Stefano Travaglia 2–1 Viktor Durasovic (3).
Statistics
| Stefano Travaglia | Viktor Durasovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.1 | 11.3-12.1 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 30.8% | 42.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Stefano Travaglia 2 – 1 Viktor Durasovic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stefano Travaglia 2–1 Viktor Durasovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/25 Challenger Skopje | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 21/05/23 ATP Geneva | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/01/20 ATP Cup | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefano Travaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Harry Wendelken US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Viktor Durasovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Christian Langmo Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 11/10 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/09 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Oliver Bonding Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefano Travaglia vs Viktor Durasovic?
Our model gives 54% to Stefano Travaglia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.