Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 12/10, 09:30
Prediction: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada
Team pages: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini · Edouard Villoslada
Prediction summary
Winner
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Edouard Villoslada
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Edouard Villoslada
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1504 · Edouard Villoslada 1467
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Edouard Villoslada | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Edouard Villoslada makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Edouard Villoslada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.7 | 9.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 56% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Giannicola Misasi M15 Burgas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Jannik Maute M15 Burgas |
2-0 | 10-1 | W |
| 21/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Alexander Weis M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Mattias Pisanu M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M15 Budapest |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 09/09 | Vincent Dullinger M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Marko Retelj M15 Budapest |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Edouard Villoslada
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Alessio Basile M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Denis Klok M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Matic Dimic M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Egor Khotchenkov M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/09 | Dmitry Popko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Mikhail Khodorchenko M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Matyas Fuele M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Denia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Slobozia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mircea Mortasifu M15 Slobozia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Edouard Villoslada?
Our model gives 67% to Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.