Tennis · M25 Santa Margherita · 12/10, 11:00
Prediction: Linus Lagerbohm vs Giammarco Gandolfi
Team pages: Linus Lagerbohm · Giammarco Gandolfi
Prediction summary
Winner
Linus Lagerbohm
Giammarco Gandolfi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Linus Lagerbohm
8-2 (W-L)
Giammarco Gandolfi
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linus Lagerbohm 1557 · Giammarco Gandolfi 1459
| Linus Lagerbohm | Giammarco Gandolfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linus Lagerbohm (rating 1557 vs 1459).
- Linus Lagerbohm is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Linus Lagerbohm | Giammarco Gandolfi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.4 | 8.1-10.8 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 30.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linus Lagerbohm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Szczawno |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Michael Agwi M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/09 | Peetu Pohjola M15 Szczawno |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Noah Thurner M15 Szczawno |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | John Sperle M15 Trier |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mikolaj Migdalski M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Giammarco Gandolfi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/10 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 09/09 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Kolos Kincses M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Niklas Guttau M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 13/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Daniel Verbeek M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 8-10 | L |
| 18/06 | Simon Reveniau M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linus Lagerbohm vs Giammarco Gandolfi?
Our model gives 72% to Linus Lagerbohm, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.