Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 12/10, 10:00
Prediction: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Niels Visker
Team pages: Ivan Marrero Curbelo · Niels Visker
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Niels Visker
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
4-6 (W-L)
Niels Visker
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Marrero Curbelo 1483 · Niels Visker 1520
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Niels Visker dominates on serve: 10.8 aces and 42% break avg.
- Note: Ivan Marrero Curbelo makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Niels Visker makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Niels Visker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.5 | 12.5-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 10.8 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 79.9% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 27/09 | Luca Potenza Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 26/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lev Seidman Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Niels Visker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Davide Vargiu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Marko Topo Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Niels McDonald Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Tom Paris Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Pedro Vives Marcos Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 31/08 | Szymon Kielan Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Guilherme Valdoleiros Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Niels Visker?
Our model gives 61% to Niels Visker, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.