Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur
Team pages: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz · Damir Dzumhur
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Damir Dzumhur
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
7-3 (W-L)
Damir Dzumhur
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1572 · Damir Dzumhur 1483
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1572 vs 1483).
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Damir Dzumhur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.9 | 12.4-13.4 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/09 | Reiya Komagata M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Edison Ambarzumjan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Daniele Augenti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Damir Dzumhur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Hubert Hurkacz US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 12-22 | L |
| 06/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Damir Dzumhur?
Our model gives 51% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.