Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 12/10, 14:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Cezar Cretu
Team pages: Maks Kasnikowski · Cezar Cretu
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Cezar Cretu
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
4-6 (W-L)
Cezar Cretu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1480 · Cezar Cretu 1530
| Maks Kasnikowski | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cezar Cretu (rating 1480 vs 1530).
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Cezar Cretu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.3 | 10.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Elmer Moller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Cezar Cretu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/08 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Miguel Damas Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Niels McDonald Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Cezar Cretu?
Our model gives 56% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.