Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Andrea Guerrieri vs Abedallah Shelbayh
Team pages: Andrea Guerrieri · Abedallah Shelbayh
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Guerrieri
Abedallah Shelbayh
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Guerrieri
6-4 (W-L)
Abedallah Shelbayh
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Guerrieri 1526 · Abedallah Shelbayh 1549
| Andrea Guerrieri | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andrea Guerrieri makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Guerrieri | Abedallah Shelbayh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.3 | 12.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 68% |
| Break % | 46% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Guerrieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | August Holmgren Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/09 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Alex De Minaur US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 27/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Joel Schwaerzler US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | August Holmgren US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
Abedallah Shelbayh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Li Tu Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/09 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Guerrieri vs Abedallah Shelbayh?
Our model gives 51% to Abedallah Shelbayh, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.