Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Samuele Pieri vs Daniel Rincon
Team pages: Samuele Pieri · Daniel Rincon
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Pieri
Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Pieri
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Rincon
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Pieri 1520 · Daniel Rincon 1489
| Samuele Pieri | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 15% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniel Rincon dominates on serve: 6 aces and 43.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Samuele Pieri | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.7 | 10.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Pieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Martin Krumich Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/10 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/09 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Pieri vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 67% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.