Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 13/10, 10:00
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Edas Butvilas
Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Edas Butvilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Edas Butvilas
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
6-4 (W-L)
Edas Butvilas
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1601 · Edas Butvilas 1517
| Jan Kumstat | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1601 vs 1517).
- Jan Kumstat is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Edas Butvilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-10 | 12.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 80.5% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 15/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Edas Butvilas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Jerome Kym Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 01/10 | Moez Echargui Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Michael Geerts Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Harold Mayot Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/09 | Miomir Kecmanovic Davis Cup |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/09 | Max Basing Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Edas Butvilas?
Our model gives 55% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.