Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 12/10, 07:30

Prediction: Marat Sharipov vs Jake Delaney

Team pages: Marat Sharipov · Jake Delaney

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Marat Sharipov Jake Delaney
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Sharipov 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWLLWW
Jake Delaney 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marat Sharipov 1622 · Jake Delaney 1498
Marat SharipovJake Delaney
Our model67%33%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marat Sharipov (rating 1622 vs 1498).
  • Marat Sharipov is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Marat SharipovJake Delaney
Win %90%50%
Win % · Hard 90% (10) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.41-1.1
Games (G-P)12.8-8.111.2-10.3
Aces12.212
Double faults1.42.8
1st serve %80.7%80.8%
Break %38.9%35.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marat Sharipov

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/10 Zhe Jiang
Challenger Jinan · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
05/10 Semen Pankin
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/10 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/09 Dalibor Svrcina
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
29/09 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/09 Naoya Honda
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
20/09 Pavel Kotov
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/09 Petr Bar Biryukov
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/09 Elias Ymer
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
16/09 Lloyd Harris
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 17-15 W

Jake Delaney

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/10 Zane Stevens
M25 Darwin
0-2 10-13 L
08/10 Wihan Van Der Merwe
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-4 W
07/10 Harrison Satara
M25 Darwin
2-0 12-4 W
02/10 Derek Pham
M25 Darwin
0-2 12-14 L
01/10 Lachlan Vickery
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-9 W
30/09 Sam Ryan Ziegann
M25 Darwin
2-0 13-8 W
22/09 Taro Daniel
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
17/09 Bernard Tomic
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Hikaru Shiraishi
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
09/09 Pavel Kotov
Challenger Shanghai · Hard
0-2 12-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marat Sharipov vs Jake Delaney?

Our model gives 74% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.