Tennis · Challenger Jinan · 12/10, 07:30
Prediction: Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika
Team pages: Liam Draxl · Omar Jasika
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Draxl
Omar Jasika
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Draxl
8-2 (W-L)
Omar Jasika
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Draxl 1540 · Omar Jasika 1535
| Liam Draxl | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Liam Draxl dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 56.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Liam Draxl | Omar Jasika | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10.9 | 11.3-9.3 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 56.4% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Draxl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Yutong Du Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Hugo Gaston ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/09 | Jack Kennedy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Arthur Rinderknech Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrew Johnson US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicolas Mejia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Omar Jasika
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Timofei Derepasko Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Chase Ferguson Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Alex Bolt ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Draxl vs Omar Jasika?
Our model gives 62% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.