Tennis · Challenger Olbia · 11/10, 10:00
Prediction: Petr Nesterov vs Christian Langmo
Team pages: Petr Nesterov · Christian Langmo
Prediction summary
Winner
Petr Nesterov
Christian Langmo
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
Petr Nesterov
5-5 (W-L)
Christian Langmo
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Petr Nesterov
1–0
Christian Langmo
(1 last)
- 01 Mar2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petr Nesterov 1541 · Christian Langmo 1454
| Petr Nesterov | Christian Langmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Petr Nesterov (rating 1541 vs 1454).
- Christian Langmo dominates on serve: 8 aces and 48.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Petr Nesterov 1–0 Christian Langmo (1).
Statistics
| Petr Nesterov | Christian Langmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-12.8 | 10.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
H2H · Petr Nesterov 1 – 0 Christian Langmo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petr Nesterov 1–0 Christian Langmo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Challenger Hersonissos | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petr Nesterov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Carles Hernandez Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Charles Chen Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 29/09 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 28/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/09 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Muttenz |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Christian Langmo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/10 | Dominik Recek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/09 | Goncalo Marques Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 27/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Basing Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petr Nesterov vs Christian Langmo?
Our model gives 68% to Petr Nesterov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.